Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
