Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.
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