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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
1 - 1
Helmond

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kaars (59')
Ostrc (58'), Lieftink (69'), Schroyen (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 3-1 Telstar
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Dordrecht
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
54.61% (-1.495 -1.5) 21.88% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 23.5% (1.434 1.43)
Both teams to score 60.54% (1.76 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (1.445 1.45)38.41% (-1.449 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (1.515 1.52)60.7% (-1.52 -1.52)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.08% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (0.038999999999994 0.04)41.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (2.031 2.03)29.54% (-2.035 -2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (2.41 2.41)65.56% (-2.414 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 54.61%
    Helmond Sport 23.5%
    Draw 21.88%
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.568 -0.57)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.551 -0.55)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.087 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.61%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.266 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.267 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.237 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: NAC Breda 3-1 Telstar
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Cambuur 2-3 NAC Breda
Sunday, October 15 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 3-2 Groningen
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 NAC Breda
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-3 Emmen
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 3-1 NAC Breda
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Dordrecht
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 Helmond
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 4-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 0-4 Helmond
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 Groningen
Friday, September 22 at 7.15pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 Helmond
Monday, September 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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