Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Helmond Sport |
54.61% ( -1.5) | 21.88% ( 0.06) | 23.5% ( 1.43) |
Both teams to score 60.54% ( 1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% ( 1.45) | 38.41% ( -1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% ( 1.52) | 60.7% ( -1.52) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.92% ( 0.02) | 14.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.32% ( 0.04) | 41.68% ( -0.04) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( 2.03) | 29.54% ( -2.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.44% ( 2.41) | 65.56% ( -2.41) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Helmond Sport |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.61% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.5% |
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