SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
49.31% ( 0.48) | 24.56% ( -0.08) | 26.14% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0.03) | 47.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( 0.03) | 70.15% ( -0.02) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.21) | 19.49% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.34) | 51.37% ( -0.33) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.3) | 32.56% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% ( -0.34) | 69.09% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 26.14% |
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