SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Heracles |
25.61% ( -0.17) | 23.34% ( -0.17) | 51.04% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.63) | 43.07% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.62) | 65.48% ( -0.62) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( 0.2) | 30.37% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( 0.23) | 66.56% ( -0.24) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.36) | 16.95% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 0.64) | 47.04% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.04% |
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