SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
58.47% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( -0.02) | 20.25% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( -0.04) | 39.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( -0.04) | 62.08% ( 0.04) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% ( 0.01) | 13.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.81% ( 0.03) | 40.19% ( -0.03) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.1) | 33.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.11) | 69.8% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.25% |
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