SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Den Bosch |
73.7% ( -0.01) | 15.19% ( 0.01) | 11.11% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.05) | 29.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.06) | 50.39% ( 0.07) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( -0.01) | 6.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.87% ( -0.04) | 25.13% ( 0.04) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( -0.04) | 37.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( -0.04) | 74.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 73.7% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.19% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.11% |
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