Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 14.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
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