SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong Ajax |
52.11% ( -0.05) | 21.09% ( 0.02) | 26.79% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 67.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.06) | 31.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.36% ( -0.07) | 52.64% ( 0.07) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( -0.03) | 12.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.75% ( -0.07) | 38.25% ( 0.08) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.01) | 23.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.02) | 57.17% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.8% |
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