SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
64.39% ( -0.61) | 18.72% ( 0.04) | 16.89% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% ( 1.01) | 33.05% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.22% ( 1.15) | 54.78% ( -1.15) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( 0.14) | 9.73% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.59% ( 0.32) | 32.41% ( -0.31) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( 1.3) | 32.67% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( 1.43) | 69.22% ( -1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.7% Total : 64.39% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.72% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 16.89% |
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