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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
4 - 1
Helmond

Banel (47', 90+2'), Godts (59'), Idumbo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaars (21')
Kreekels (29'), Van den Eynden (37')
Kreekels (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-0 Oss
Friday, November 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 Emmen
Friday, November 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport
50.73% (-0.356 -0.36) 22.43% (0.107 0.11) 26.85% (0.247 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.27% (-0.298 -0.3)37.73% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02% (-0.317 -0.32)59.98% (0.316 0.32)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-0.226 -0.23)15.12% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.33% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)43.68% (0.428 0.43)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.64% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.028999999999996 0.03)61.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 50.73%
    Helmond Sport 26.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.85%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-0 Oss
Friday, November 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-0 Willem II
Monday, November 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-0 ADO Den Haag
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 4-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 Emmen
Friday, November 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 2-1 Helmond
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-0 Telstar
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Helmond
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Dordrecht
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 Helmond
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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