Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
50.73% ( -0.36) | 22.43% ( 0.11) | 26.85% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.28% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.27% ( -0.3) | 37.73% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.02% ( -0.32) | 59.98% ( 0.32) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.89% ( -0.23) | 15.12% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.33% ( -0.43) | 43.68% ( 0.43) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0.02) | 26.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.03) | 61.87% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.04% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.85% |
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