SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
41.47% ( -0.09) | 24.27% ( 0.05) | 34.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.25) | 42.62% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.25) | 65.02% ( 0.25) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.14) | 20.69% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.23) | 53.29% ( 0.23) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.1) | 24.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( -0.14) | 58.79% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.25% |
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