SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
44.1% ( -0.18) | 23.33% ( 0.16) | 32.56% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.84% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.78) | 38.61% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.83) | 60.92% ( 0.83) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -0.38) | 17.91% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% ( -0.66) | 48.71% ( 0.67) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.36) | 23.45% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.52) | 57.46% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
