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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
44.81% ( -0.34) | 22.57% ( -0.1) | 32.62% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 65.73% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.69) | 34.84% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.18% ( 0.77) | 56.81% ( -0.78) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.14) | 16.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( 0.26) | 45.57% ( -0.27) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.57) | 21.62% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( 0.87) | 54.73% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 32.62% |
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