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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
41.27% ( 0.04) | 23.77% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.02) | 40.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.01) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.03) | 19.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 0.04) | 51.7% ( -0.04) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.01) | 22.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( -0.02) | 56.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.96% |
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