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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.97%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Jong Ajax |
55.97% ( 0.02) | 20.99% ( -0) | 23.04% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.35% ( -0) | 34.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.01) | 56.6% ( 0.01) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( 0) | 12.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( 0) | 38.32% ( -0) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( -0.02) | 63.43% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.04% |
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