Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 56.83%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.
Result | ||
Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
56.83% (![]() | 19.69% (![]() | 23.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.34% (![]() | 27.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.68% (![]() | 48.31% (![]() |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.04% (![]() | 9.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.06% (![]() | 32.93% (![]() |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% (![]() | 57.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.02% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.9% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 7.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 5.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.48% |
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