SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Telstar |
41.97% ( 0.07) | 25.57% ( 0.12) | 32.45% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( -0.56) | 49% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( -0.51) | 71.08% ( 0.5) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.21) | 23.2% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -0.31) | 57.09% ( 0.31) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.39) | 28.54% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.49) | 64.33% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.97% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.45% |
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