Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
