Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	ADO Den Haag
48.61% ( 6.13)	23.16% ( -0.81)	28.22% ( -5.32)

Both teams to score 60.81% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.83% (

1.21)

40.17% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.46% (

1.24)

62.54% (

-1.24)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

2.96)

16.76% (

-2.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3% (

5.03)

46.7% (

-5.03)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-2.73)

26.94% (

2.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

-3.73)

62.27% (

3.73)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 48.62%

ADO Den Haag 28.22%

Draw 23.15%

Jong AZ	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.79) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.55) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.53) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.26) Other @ 4.23% Total : 48.62%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.86) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.85) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.92) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.65) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.57) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.22%