Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
6.13) 
-0.81) 
