SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Telstar |
42.32% ( -0.05) | 24.47% ( 0.14) | 33.21% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -0.65) | 43.82% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -0.64) | 66.21% ( 0.64) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.29) | 20.82% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( -0.46) | 53.49% ( 0.47) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.36) | 25.56% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( -0.49) | 60.43% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.21% |
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