SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NAC Breda in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
46.93% ( 0.15) | 24.15% ( 0.03) | 28.92% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.25) | 44.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.24) | 66.64% ( 0.24) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.04) | 19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( -0.07) | 50.55% ( 0.06) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.25) | 28.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.32) | 64.33% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
