Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
