SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
34.83% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( -0.02) | 38.71% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.09) | 52.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( 0.08) | 73.94% ( -0.07) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.05) | 28.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.57% ( 0.06) | 64.43% ( -0.06) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.05) | 26.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.5% ( 0.07) | 61.5% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.7% |
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