SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
61.7% ( -0.76) | 21.68% ( 0.35) | 16.62% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.75) | 47.28% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0.7) | 69.51% ( 0.7) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( -0.48) | 14.8% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.93% ( -0.93) | 43.07% ( 0.93) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( 0.08) | 41.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( 0.07) | 78.16% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.7% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.62% |
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