SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 37 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong FC Utrecht | 37 | -23 | 38 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 37 | -24 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 37 | -19 | 46 |
| 11 | VVV-Venlo | 37 | -15 | 45 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 37 | -2 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 31.02% | 24.03% | 44.95% |
| Both teams to score 59.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% | 42.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% | 65.02% |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.54% | 61.46% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% | 19.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.17% | 50.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.95% |
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