Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.