SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
41.74% ( 0.02) | 25.34% ( -0.05) | 32.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.24) | 47.84% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.22) | 70.02% ( -0.22) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( 0.11) | 22.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.16) | 56.51% ( -0.17) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 0.13) | 27.68% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.17) | 63.23% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.91% |
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