SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
47.77% ( -0.02) | 24.13% ( -0.01) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.06) | 44.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.06) | 67.04% ( -0.06) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.02) | 18.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.74% ( 0.03) | 50.26% ( -0.03) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.05) | 29.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( 0.07) | 65.31% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.1% |
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