Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.