SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
32.9% ( 0.69) | 24.43% ( 0.05) | 42.67% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.01) | 43.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.02) | 66.12% ( 0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.42) | 25.7% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.56) | 60.62% ( -0.56) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.34) | 20.61% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( -0.54) | 53.17% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.67% |
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