SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
36.18% ( -0.01) | 24.64% ( -0) | 39.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 0.02) | 44.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.01) | 66.4% ( -0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0) | 23.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( 0.01) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0.01) | 22.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 0.02) | 55.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 3% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.18% |
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