Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.21) 
