SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | NAC Breda |
48.88% ( 0.13) | 22.28% ( 0.02) | 28.84% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.54% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.22) | 35.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.48% ( -0.24) | 57.52% ( 0.24) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( -0.03) | 14.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.69% ( -0.07) | 43.31% ( 0.07) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.21) | 24.15% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( -0.3) | 58.46% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.84% |
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