SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
36.41% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( -0) | 40.22% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( 0.02) | 37.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.9% ( 0.02) | 60.1% ( -0.02) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0) | 21.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( 0) | 53.84% ( -0) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0.02) | 19.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.04% ( 0.02) | 50.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 40.22% |
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