Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Willem II in this match.
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