SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
45.17% ( -0.72) | 24.95% ( 0.44) | 29.88% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -1.81) | 47.29% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -1.71) | 69.52% ( 1.71) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -1.05) | 20.98% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( -1.68) | 53.74% ( 1.68) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.73) | 29.41% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% ( -0.9) | 65.4% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.88% |
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