SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
32.86% ( 0.37) | 24.28% ( 0.1) | 42.85% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.34) | 43.06% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.33) | 65.46% ( 0.34) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.06) | 25.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( 0.08) | 60.21% ( -0.08) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.34) | 20.26% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -0.55) | 52.6% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.86% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.85% |
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