Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | TOP Oss |
73.29% ( 0.11) | 16.74% ( -0.01) | 9.97% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.2% ( -0.31) | 40.8% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.81% ( -0.32) | 63.19% ( 0.32) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.32% ( -0.05) | 9.68% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.72% ( -0.12) | 32.27% ( 0.12) |
TOP Oss Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.95% ( -0.42) | 48.05% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.73% ( -0.31) | 83.27% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | TOP Oss |
2-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.45% Total : 73.29% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 16.74% | 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 9.97% |
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