SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | TOP Oss |
47.62% ( 0.48) | 25.36% ( -0.26) | 27.01% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.9) | 50.7% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( 0.78) | 72.6% ( -0.79) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.59) | 21.3% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.9) | 54.24% ( -0.9) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.3) | 33.3% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( 0.32) | 69.92% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.02% |
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