Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	SBV Excelsior
31.48%	22.36%	46.15%

Both teams to score 65.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.67%

34.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.76%

56.23%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69%

55.31%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55%

15.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.7%

44.3%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 31.48%

SBV Excelsior 46.15%

Draw 22.36%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.28% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.72% 3-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.15%