Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Almere City
36.86% ( -0.01)	24.24% ( -0.01)	38.9% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

0.04)

42.08% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

0.04)

64.48% (

-0.04)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

0.01)

22.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.62% (

0.02)

56.38% (

-0.02)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

0.03)

21.68% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

0.04)

54.83% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 36.86%

Almere City 38.9%

Draw 24.23%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.86%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.9%