Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
