SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Willem II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
57.58% ( 0.09) | 21.22% ( -0.01) | 21.2% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.08) | 38.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.09) | 60.39% ( 0.09) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% | 13.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.33% ( 0) | 39.67% ( -0) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.13) | 31.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( -0.14) | 67.74% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 21.2% |
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