SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
63.22% ( -0.1) | 19% ( 0.12) | 17.78% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.61) | 32.79% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.52% ( -0.7) | 54.48% ( 0.71) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( -0.19) | 9.94% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( -0.45) | 32.88% ( 0.45) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.39) | 31.55% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( -0.46) | 67.95% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.61% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 17.78% |
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