Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
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