Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 58.15%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
