SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 59.43%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 20.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Telstar |
59.43% ( -0.05) | 20.1% ( 0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.05) | 33.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.06) | 55.59% ( 0.06) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( -0.03) | 11.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.32% ( -0.06) | 35.68% ( 0.07) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( -0) | 65.53% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.1% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.47% |
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