SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Cambuur |
34.6% ( 0.55) | 22.56% ( 0.19) | 42.85% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 66.53% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.8) | 34.09% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.03% ( -0.91) | 55.96% ( 0.91) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.09) | 20.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.15) | 52.56% ( 0.15) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.6) | 16.59% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -1.09) | 46.39% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.55% Total : 42.85% |
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