Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.