Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8

Sep 12, 2022 at 7pm UK

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda JC
3 - 2
De Graafschap

Limbombe (15', 47'), Vente (23')
Sieben (87'), Douglas (90+2'), Vossebelt (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Korte (51'), Haen (73')
Lammers (64'), Hillen (84'), Bouihrouchane (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JC	Draw	De Graafschap
43.59% ( 0.65)	24.7% ( -0.06)	31.72% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 57.57% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

0.06)

45.37% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

0.06)

67.71% (

-0.06)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.32)

20.89% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.4% (

0.5)

53.6% (

-0.49)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.34)

27.23% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.45)

62.66% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Roda JC 43.59%

De Graafschap 31.72%

Draw 24.69%

Roda JC	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.59%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.72%